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Blogwire > Blog > News > Does Trump 2.0 Signal a Return to Spheres of Influence?
Does Trump 2.0 Signal a Return to Spheres of Influence?
News

Does Trump 2.0 Signal a Return to Spheres of Influence?

BlogWire Team
Last updated: June 1, 2025 2:40 pm
By BlogWire Team
5 Min Read
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Contents
Spheres of Influence Are Not the AnswerTrump’s New MapThe 20th Century’s Lessons for Our New Era of WarAsia Is Getting Dangerously UnbalancedThe Return of the Monroe Doctrine

In 1885, Europe’s colonial powers signed the General Act of Berlin, which formalized a plan to carve up Africa. That international agreement included the first reference to a “sphere of influence”—a concept that would go on to drive international relations through much of the 20th century.

The spheres-of-influence approach to grand strategy largely fell out of public discourse at the end of the Cold War, a time of great hope for globalization and multilateralism. But now, many analysts argue that under the second Trump administration—not to mention the regimes of Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping—it is back with a vengeance.

In 1885, Europe’s colonial powers signed the General Act of Berlin, which formalized a plan to carve up Africa. That international agreement included the first reference to a “sphere of influence”—a concept that would go on to drive international relations through much of the 20th century.

The spheres-of-influence approach to grand strategy largely fell out of public discourse at the end of the Cold War, a time of great hope for globalization and multilateralism. But now, many analysts argue that under the second Trump administration—not to mention the regimes of Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping—it is back with a vengeance.

This edition of the Reading List considers the return of hemispheric ambitions and the renewed emphasis on geography in foreign policy, as well as the possible consequences of this shift in strategic thought.


An illustration shows Trump from above and behind walking away with six views of the globe behind him.

Foreign Policy illustration/Getty Images

Spheres of Influence Are Not the Answer

Even if the great powers could carve up an interconnected world, Washington may not get the result it wants, Sarang Shidore writes.


  

Donald Trump is seen inside a helicopter at night looking down at a cell phone
Donald Trump is seen inside a helicopter at night looking down at a cell phone

U.S. President Donald Trump looks at his cell phone as Marine One arrives at the White House in Washington on Aug. 9, 2020.Samuel Corum/Getty Images

Trump’s New Map

America’s first post-literate president has only geography to fall back on, Robert D. Kaplan writes.


 

A black-and-white photo shows soldiers carrying guns and wearing helmets, seen from behind as they head toward something burning on the horizon. Plumes of smoke billow into the sky.
A black-and-white photo shows soldiers carrying guns and wearing helmets, seen from behind as they head toward something burning on the horizon. Plumes of smoke billow into the sky.

Soviet infantry in combat during the Battle of Kursk in 1943. Laski Diffusion/Getty Images

The 20th Century’s Lessons for Our New Era of War

Once again, Eurasian autocracies seek to upend the balance of power, Hal Brands writes.



U.S. President Donald Trump looks up while seated beside Chinese President Xi Jinping at the Forbidden City.
U.S. President Donald Trump looks up while seated beside Chinese President Xi Jinping at the Forbidden City.

U.S. President Donald Trump sits beside Chinese President Xi Jinping during a tour of the Forbidden City in Beijing on Nov. 8, 2017. Jim Watson/AFP via Getty Images

Asia Is Getting Dangerously Unbalanced

The Trump administration continues to create headlines, but the real story may be elsewhere, FP’s Stephen M. Walt writes.


 

A 1901 political cartoon depicts an Uncle Sam rooster (large and central wearing a top hat and stars and stripe suit) with small roosters in the Monroe Doctrine-labeled European Coop (left) and smaller roosters labeled with South American country names including Colombia, Guatemala, Brazil, Chile, Uruguay, Peru, and others running around free.
A 1901 political cartoon depicts an Uncle Sam rooster (large and central wearing a top hat and stars and stripe suit) with small roosters in the Monroe Doctrine-labeled European Coop (left) and smaller roosters labeled with South American country names including Colombia, Guatemala, Brazil, Chile, Uruguay, Peru, and others running around free.

A 1901 political cartoon depicts an Uncle Sam rooster with European roosters in the Monroe Doctrine coop (left) and South American countries running around free as smaller roosters. The original caption read: “Europe: You’re not the only rooster in South America! Uncle Sam: I was aware of that when I cooped you up!” Fotosearch/Getty Images

The Return of the Monroe Doctrine

U.S. responses to China’s growing presence in Latin America risk falling into an old paternalistic pattern, Tom Long and Carsten-Andreas Schulz write.



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