Every bet has a chance of not hitting but based on the value (+102 odds), this one is worth the wager. However, if it doesn’t hit, it’ll most likely be because of these reasons:
POINT 1: Knowing these 3 players’ incentives could influence offensive game plans, the defensive game plans might be to focus on stopping these players from excelling against them.
POINT 2: With more important things at stake for the team, it won’t be a priority to feed Mike Evans and Courtland Sutton if they’re getting double covered or not open on most plays.
POINT 3: Geno Smith only needs 185 passing yards for incentive-purposes and might not quite reach the full 200 as he plays conservatively to ensure he has a 70% completion percentage